NFL Betting Primer Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans (+2.5 | O/U: 43.5)
The 6-4 Bengals visit the 7-3 Titans in a rematch from last year’s AFC Divisional Round. Cincinnati found themselves victorious on that day, upsetting the Titans 19-16. Some additional context regarding that game:
Tennessee QB Ryan Tannehill essentially lost his team the game, tossing three interceptions, and prompting his team to select QB Malik Willis in the Draft.
This was RB Derrick Henry’s first game back since breaking a bone in his foot in Week 8. He ran for 62 yards on 20 carries.
Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow was sacked 9 times.
The Titans were 4 point favorites, and the Total was set at 48.5 points.
The Titans thoroughly underperformed in this matchup last season, and Cincinnati’s defense carried the team to victory. Perhaps the Bengals can lean on their defense once again. The Titans’ offense is less than threatening (20th in EPA / Play), and the unit has been particularly pedestrian as the game progresses-- the team had failed to score a fourth quarter touchdown prior to their Week 11 win in Green Bay. However, the Titans have covered eight straight since their Week 2 loss in Buffalo, and it is enticing to be catching points with this team at Home.
Cincinnati has been streaking in their own right. The Bengals offense ranks 4th in EPA / Play, and hasn’t missed a beat with the absence of WR Ja’Marr Chase. The team has scored 42, and 37 points in their last two contests, and are signaling that they may once again have the firepower to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. The Bengals will be without RB Joe Mixon for this game, but backup Samaje Perine shined for them a week ago. If Cincy’s offense can continue to roll, Tennessee won’t be able to keep pace.
That is, however, a big if. The Titans’ defense is among the best in the NFL, and has previously shown an aptitude to make life hell for opposing QB Joe Burrow. To find out how The Premium is betting this game, and for the rest of tonight's Best Bets, click the link here and use promo code JURGENS to save 25% on a VIP package
